Championship, matchday 12
Blackburn v Wrexham
Kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 15:00, away at Blackburn
The numbers
| Blackburn | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Last six (newest first) | LWWDWL | WLDWLD |
| League position | 10th, 15 pts | 14th, 14 pts |
| Record | W4 D3 L4 | W3 D5 L3 |
| At this venue | Home: W3 D0 L2 (9-7) | Away: W1 D3 L1 (5-8) |
| Goals scored a game | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | 2 of 11 | 2 of 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 of 11 | 2 of 11 |
| Both teams scored | 82% | 73% |
| Games with 3+ goals | 82% | 55% |
League games this season before this match. Form chips: hover or tap for the score.
Head to head
- Blackburn 0-2 WrexhamChampionship 2025-26, 1 Jan 2026W
- Wrexham 1-1 BlackburnChampionship 2025-26, 29 Nov 2025D
Analysis
Blackburn sit 10th on 15 points from 11 games and Wrexham 14th on 14. Blackburn's home record is the more productive of the two, with three wins and two defeats from five games at Ewood Park, nine goals scored and seven conceded. Wrexham have taken one win, three draws and one defeat from five away games, scoring five and conceding eight. Blackburn have been involved in games with three or more goals 82% of the time, against 55% for Wrexham, and both sides have conceded 1.45 goals a game. Blackburn have won two of their last three, while Wrexham arrive off a 4-1 win over Preston North End.
- Blackburn share of games with three or more goals
- 82%
- The numbers suggest Blackburn games tend to be open, which makes the scoreline harder to predict from the table alone.
- Wrexham goals conceded away
- 8
- Six of those eight came in the 0-6 defeat at West Ham on 11 September, so one result accounts for most of the away leakage.
- Wrexham goals per game
- 1.36
- Wrexham average 1.36 goals a game against Blackburn's 1.55, a gap the numbers suggest is small but real.
- Blackburn clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- Blackburn have kept only two clean sheets in 11 league games, so the home side has been regularly breached, though Wrexham have also kept just two.
Open game on the numbers
The numbers suggest an open game. Blackburn have scored nine and conceded seven in five home matches, and Wrexham have conceded eight in five away matches. Neither side has kept many clean sheets, with both on two from eleven, so the scoreline may depend on which attack finds the most space. Wrexham's away scoring is the weaker figure, with five goals in five games and no score in two of eleven matches overall, so the question is whether the front two can score on the road as they did against Preston at home.
Shape and personnel
Leader Live predicts a 3-4-1-2 with Kieffer Moore and Sam Smith up front and Callum O'Hare just behind them, and says Matty James could keep his place if his back has settled. The reports disagree on how familiar the shape is: one says it has been Parkinson's preferred setup for much of the season, while another says the Preston game was the first time this season the club lined up with two strikers. Ben Sheaf may be among the substitutes. Nathan Broadhead, Josh Windass and Liberato Cacace are still some way from full training. None of the reports name Blackburn's shape or players, so their setup cannot be assessed.
Key battles
Moore and Smith against Blackburn's home defence
Kieffer Moore and Sam Smith both scored in the 4-1 win over Preston, and Leader Live's predicted line-up has them leading the attack again. Their opponents are Blackburn's home defence, which has conceded seven in five games at Ewood Park. The reports name no individual Blackburn defenders, so this is a contest between Wrexham's two strikers and the home back line as a unit rather than a player-against-player duel.
What to watch
The deciding factor is whether Wrexham's front two can score away from home, given Wrexham have scored five goals in five away games. Watch James's back too, since the predicted midfield shape depends on him.
Analysis by the Up The Town newsdesk from the numbers above and reporting by The Leader.
Quick answers
- When do Wrexham play Blackburn?
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (UK time), away at Blackburn.
- Where are Wrexham and Blackburn in the table?
- Wrexham are 14th with 14 points; Blackburn are 10th with 15.